METHODOLOGY & DISCLAIMER
CryptOverwatch reconstructs a token's on-chain activity from public blockchain data: every transaction, aggregated per wallet, organized into a flow accounting - how much went in, how much came out, and how it splits between those who drove the token, those who arrived later, and automated activity. From this accounting we derive the numbers and charts in each report.
We do not publish the exact implementation of our models and heuristics: that is the core of the work. What matters to the reader is the principle - we measure, we do not accuse - and the caveats that accompany every number.
⚠ Disclaimer - read
- We analyze on-chain data. The blockchain is largely pseudonymous: an address is not a person, and it is rarely possible to establish with certainty who is behind it, what is coordinated and what is not, or what is 'safe' and what is not.
- For this reason every analysis reports a confidence level and explicit caveats. We can never guarantee an analysis is 100% correct: these are estimates and behavioral reconstructions, not established facts.
- We do not accuse anyone of fraud. Precisely because anonymity does not allow a behavior to be attributed with certainty to a person or a single orchestrator, we use only behavioral labels tied to addresses (e.g. 'operator-core', 'bundle', 'retail'), never real identities or claims of wrongdoing.
- Known exchange / hot-wallet addresses can create false links: where relevant we flag this.
- Nothing here is financial, legal or investment advice. It is analytical information, to be verified independently.
In short: we measure public flows with the greatest possible care, we always state the uncertainty, and we leave the judgments to the reader.